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Liang Zhonghua of Haitong Securities: The general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 has been determined, and the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Liang Zhonghua, chief macro analyst of Haitong Securities, said that judging from the statement of the meeting, the general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 is certain. Among them, "supernormal countercyclical adjustment" was put forward for the first time. Liang Zhonghua analyzed that "supernormal adjustment" may be different from QE (quantitative easing) in western countries, but refers to a traditional tool that has grown steadily in the past few years, making a breakthrough on the margin and playing the role of "keeping innovation" and "enriching and perfecting the policy toolbox". Judging from the policies that have been issued since September, this round of steady growth is a steady growth under the framework of "high quality". The high-quality framework will not change, and there will be no strong stimulation of flood irrigation. The meeting proposed to "implement a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy". Liang Zhonghua believes that next year's finance is expected to make further marginal efforts. It is expected that deficit ratio may improve. At present, 3.5%-4.0% is more likely, and the scale of special bonds may be marginally increased. Special government bonds supporting "duality" and "two innovations" will continue to be issued or increased. In addition, the debt-melting policy launched in November will also be the financial focus next year, and it is expected that special government bonds may be issued to supplement bank capital. In addition, the gradual interest rate cut will continue next year, and the structural monetary policy will continue to exert its strength. The meeting stressed that "it is necessary to vigorously boost consumption, improve investment efficiency, and expand domestic demand in all directions." In this regard, Liang Zhonghua believes that compared with Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party's statement of "expanding domestic demand with the focus on boosting consumption" in July, this meeting pays more attention to expanding domestic demand, and its support is expected to be further increased in the future. Since the beginning of this year, with the extra-long special national debt funds in place, the consumption of consumer goods trade-in policy has gradually emerged. There is still room for further efforts to expand domestic demand policies such as replacing old consumer goods with new ones next year. Liang Zhonghua also mentioned that this meeting clearly put forward "stabilizing the property market and stock market", which shows that the policy pays high attention to the property market and stock market. As an important signal to pay attention to the economy and expectations, the policies of the property market and stock market are also positive.The turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets exceeded 1 trillion yuan for the 50th consecutive trading day, setting a new record.The net outflow of the main market exceeded 10 billion.

The Chinese side said that all factions in Syria should put the interests of the people first. On the 9th local time, the Security Council held closed-door consultations on the situation in Syria at the request of Russia. Fu Cong, Permanent Representative of China to the United Nations, said: We are paying close attention to this situation and hope that it will stabilize as soon as possible. We also hope to start an inclusive political process as soon as possible. At the same time, all factions and parties in Syria should put the interests of the people first.The South Korean police demanded that 11 people, including Premier Han Dezhu, be investigated. On December 10th, local time, the special investigation team of the National Investigation Headquarters of the South Korean Police Department, which is responsible for investigating the emergency martial law, said that 11 people, including State Councilor Han Dezhu and Zhao Taiyong, president of the National Intelligence Agency, had been asked to investigate. (CCTV News)China's trade account in November was 692.8 billion yuan, with the previous value of 679.1 billion yuan.

Commercial banks strengthen the marketing of personal pension business. According to combing, the "marketing fever" of personal pension business of ICBC, Agricultural Bank, China Construction Bank, Bank of China, Bank of Communications and other banks and their branches is heating up continuously recently. In addition, some banks have stepped up their efforts to "grab food" from the cake of personal pension business with the help of Internet financial platforms such as Jingdong Finance, and added more customers. The experts interviewed believe that it is an important measure for banks and other institutions to carry out personal pension business to implement the national strategy of actively responding to the aging population, which will help promote the implementation of personal pension policy. For banks, personal pension business can increase customer resources and provide a broader market space for bank wealth management business. (Securities Daily)Rong Sheng Development failed to pay the "20 Rong Sheng Real Estate MTN003" as scheduled, with a total principal and interest of 1,678.08 million yuan. On December 10th, Rong Sheng Real Estate Development Co., Ltd. announced that the "20 Rong Sheng Real Estate MTN003" issued by the company failed to pay the principal and interest of 1,678.08 million yuan as scheduled. The debt was due today, but the company failed to repay it in full. Rong Sheng Real Estate said that it will actively communicate with bondholders on the follow-up disposal plan to seek a solution. "20 Rong Sheng Real Estate MTN003" passed the extension plan in 2022, with the principal extended for one year and the interest extended for two years. (澎湃)Bond futures increased by 1.00% for the 30-year main contract, 1.00% for the 30-year main contract, 0.51% for the 10-year main contract, 0.32% for the 5-year main contract and 0.10% for the 2-year main contract.